The Jubilee Hills by-election has generated political excitement across Telangana. With major parties announcing their candidates and stepping into the fray, each side is calculating its chances of victory. However, despite the situation of the BRS and BJP, the ground-level political equations clearly seem to be favoring the Congress party. Politically, development-wise, and socially, all key factors appear to be working in favor of Congress candidate Naveen Yadav.
Key Factor 1: A True Local Leader
Naveen Yadav is a native of the Jubilee Hills constituency. His previous election performances show his strong base in the area. In the 2014 elections, he contested as the AIMIM candidate and secured 41,656 votes, finishing in second place. Later, in 2018, he contested as an independent and garnered 18,817 votes, demonstrating his personal charisma and influence in the constituency. This time, with the backing of the ruling Congress party and strong support from his community, his winning prospects have become even brighter.
Key Factor 2: Development and Welfare
Since the Congress came to power, developmental works worth over ₹200 crore have already been undertaken in Jubilee Hills. The Congress party has been using this as a key campaign point, showing that it is not merely making promises but also fulfilling them. The visible on-ground development has been well-received by residents. Long-standing civic issues like drainage, flood-prone areas, and drinking water shortages in Yousufguda, Erragadda, Rahmathnagar, and Vengalrao Nagar divisions are being addressed systematically. This is proving to be a strong advantage for both the Congress party and Naveen Yadav.
Key Factor 3: Minorities and MIM Support
Minorities, who make up about 34% of the total voters in Jubilee Hills, are the deciding factor in this election. The AIMIM has a significant presence in the area, and minority communities are showing positive sentiment toward Naveen Yadav. His past association with the AIMIM, when he contested under its banner in 2014, helped him establish strong ties with these groups. Moreover, AIMIM’s official declaration of full support to the Congress in this by-election further strengthens his position. With a majority of Muslim voters likely to back Naveen Yadav one-sidedly, political observers believe his victory appears almost certain.
Key Factor 4: The BC Card
While both BRS and BJP have fielded upper-caste candidates in the Jubilee Hills bypoll, the Congress party has strategically allotted the ticket to a Backward Class (BC) candidate, Naveen Yadav from the Yadav community. At a time when discussions around BC reservations are gaining momentum across Telangana, this move is seen as a smart political strategy. With around 1.4 lakh BC voters (over 35% of the total electorate) in the constituency, Naveen Yadav’s candidature reinforces the Congress message of empowering BC communities politically.
Key Factor 5: Never Abandoned the Constituency
Unlike many leaders who shift to other constituencies after losing elections, Naveen Yadav has remained rooted in Jubilee Hills. Despite facing defeats twice, he continued to stay among the people, serving them through his Nava Yuva Foundation. His initiatives range from providing coaching for competitive exams to organizing community services like baby showers for expectant mothers and food programs for children. These consistent local engagements have earned him a reputation as a people’s leader who is always accessible.
With all these factors aligning in his favor, Naveen Yadav has left little room for criticism of his candidature. Considering his previous vote share, the Congress government’s ongoing development works, the consolidation of minority voters through AIMIM’s support, and the party’s BC representation strategy, political analysts believe that Naveen Yadav’s victory in the Jubilee Hills by-election is almost certain, laying a strong foundation for a Congress win.